Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.222402 0.306652 0.400808 0.511738 0.637008 0.772508 0.928676
2025-10-26 0.123763 0.233230 0.372583 0.552300 0.769503 1.016879 1.314022
2025-11-02 0.068841 0.179657 0.338459 0.557777 0.835183 1.161282 1.562391
2025-11-09 0.025602 0.119407 0.279522 0.519794 0.839084 1.226617 1.714298
2025-11-16 0.004371 0.072822 0.224746 0.475454 0.825672 1.263724 1.826386
2025-11-23 0.000007 0.048164 0.195887 0.461126 0.846503 1.339370 1.981722
2025-11-30 NaN 0.035859 0.184983 0.470777 0.897638 1.451752 2.180810
2025-12-07 NaN 0.023177 0.166969 0.465861 0.926521 1.534319 2.342152
2025-12-14 NaN 0.011609 0.142686 0.446288 0.932005 1.584815 2.462265
2025-12-21 NaN 0.010048 0.148284 0.478787 1.012897 1.734227 2.706576
2025-12-28 NaN 0.008838 0.154450 0.512174 1.095120 1.885523 2.953487
2026-01-04 NaN 0.006470 0.153875 0.532557 1.157846 2.010901 3.167706
2026-01-11 NaN 0.006601 0.166420 0.580213 1.265011 2.200218 3.469198
2026-01-18 NaN 0.005682 0.173147 0.617273 1.357257 2.370975 3.748987
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002912 0.165146 0.624741 1.404165 2.480497 3.950430
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000070 0.134930 0.583955 1.375361 2.486773 4.019228
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.104935 0.536864 1.333150 2.472434 4.059661
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.090771 0.521554 1.339411 2.523229 4.182963
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.087538 0.531855 1.386985 2.631268 4.380706
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.078744 0.526611 1.408358 2.702383 4.530063
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.065203 0.505721 1.402362 2.734295 4.627537
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.071240 0.540393 1.490688 2.899866 4.901089
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.077591 0.575941 1.580552 3.067709 5.177769